Friday, September 26, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT, September 20-26, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT
No Peace without Justice, no Justice without the Facts
September 20-26, 2008
Mary K. Matossian, Editor
mary@matossian.net, Apt. 9-M

The US Economy

PBS 9-19. Fear on Wall Street is the worst in 50 years because a series of financial institutions have collapsed. The meltdown is global in scope.
CNN 9-19. The bailout proposal for Wall Street financial firms proposed by Henry Paulson, Secretary of the Treasury, is for $700 billion, and may reach one trillion, making it “the mother of all bailouts.” As first proposed it would give Paulson immunity from any review in using the money. It is intended to prevent a credit freeze on Wall Street. The original proposal of three pages had expanded to 91 pages on Thursday afternoon.
NYTimes 9-20. The meltdown is global. The stock market of Russia is down by 50%.
Washington Post 9-22. Resentful of the bailout proposal is widespread, and cuts across class lines. People who have been financially prudent are angry at the prospect of assuming hundreds of billions in liability. CNN 9-22. People are saying, “Hell no! Let the failing institutions die!” They ask, “Where’s the bailout for the average American and small business owners? ”
NY Times 9-23. People are saying that the bailout proposal is only in the private interest, not in the public interest. They have little confidence that taxpayers will be paid back later. They want punitive measures taken against the executives responsible for the mess. They demand that there be legislative and judicial review of the actions of Secretary Paulson. They want citizens to have equity in the seized financial institutions. They want caps on the pay of executives in these institutions.
Retirees have been hit especially hard by the crisis. Compared with previous retirees, they have less money in savings, greater exposure to market risk, and longer life expectancies.
CNN 9-23. Senator Dodd warned, that since the US is already deeply in debt and has limited resources, “There will be no second act, no Plan B, if this bailout does not work.” The next President will have few resources to expand education and health services, to fix our failing infrastructures, and to cut taxes for anyone.

CNN 9-23. House Democrats agreed to allow the ban on oil drilling offshore in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans to expire.

Wall Street Journal 9-24. The FBI is investigating fraud in four firms at the heart of the mess: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Lehman, and AIG.

NYTimes 9-26. Late Thursday, 9-25, the federal government made the federal government seized Washington Mutual. It was the largest bank takeover in history. The government sold parts of Washington Mutual to JP Morgan Chase.

NYTimes 9-26. The tentative agreement on a plan for federal action to restore liquidity on Wall Street was destroyed by House Republicans, who seek federal insurance of some kind rather than a buy-out.


US Politics

Wall Street Journal. 9-19. The Journal, now owned by conservative Rupert Murdoch, blasted McCain as incompetent and impulsive on American economic issues.
CNN 9-22. Obama is gaining among seniors and men. On the economy, Obama leads McCain 53 to 42%. On international crises, McCain leads 54 to 44%.
PBS 9-22. On McCain decision making: He relies on his instincts and makes fast judgments – useful when he was a fighter pilot. But he tends to be impulsive rather than analytical. He is hot-tempered and passionate.
PBS 9-23. On Obama decision making: He is deliberate, reflective, and cool. He listens to his advisors. He is moved both by principles and pragmatism. He never acts off the cuff, and avoids digging himself into a hole or backing himself into a corner. He excels at bringing people with different views together.
Washington Post 9-24. According to a recent W Post/ABC poll, Obama now leads McCain 52 to 43. Only 9% still consider Iraq the most important issue of the campaign. There is much movement of college educated whites toward Obama. Whites without college degrees support McCain by a 17 point majority. Unfavorable ratings of Palin increased from 28 to 38%. Among college grads her favorability rating within two week dropped from 60 to 43%. Independents support Obama 53% to 39% for McCain.

NYTimes 9-26. The fate of the presidential debate tonight is uncertain.

Pakistan

CNN 9-20. A big truck bombing in Islamabad destroyed the Marriott Hotel. The explosion was felt three miles away. At least 60 died and 175 were wounded.

Israel

NYTimes 9-26. The settler movement in Israel appears to be turning more violent, as a pipe bomb explodes outside the house of a liberal Israeli professor, Zeev Sternhall. Flyers distributed nearby offered $300,000 for the killing of any member of Peace Now, a pacifist organization which advocates the termination of Jewish settlements on the West Bank. [Under international law these settlements violate the ban on colonizing land which has been seized by unauthorized force.] The settlers claim that the settlements are authorized by God.
There are now over 100 such settlements on the West Bank with about 250,000 settlers among 2.4 million Palestinians. [Most commentators think that unless the settlements are removed a Palestinian state is impossible.]

American Foreign Policy

` The Nation October 6, 2008, Excerpts from “Ten National Security Myths Debunked.”
Myth 1. “It’s a dangerous world. We face an array of serious national security threats…”
“Seven years after the 9/11 attack it is evident that Al-Qaeda lacks the capacity to pose a systemic threat to America. Since 9/11 there have been no major attacks against US targets outside the war zones of Iraq and Afghanistan.”
“Iran is too weak economically and militarily to pose a threat to the United States or US allies in the Middle East and is years away from obtaining nuclear weapons.”

Myth 2. “The surge has worked. To draw from Iraq now would snatch defeat from the jaws of victory and embolden Islamic extremists.”

“The drop off in violence reflects the fact that ethnic cleansing led to the internal partition of Iraqi cities and regions, reducing the opportunity for sectarian killing… The [Sunni] Awakening Councils…deserve much of the credit for the decline in violence. So does the decision by Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr to order his militia to stand down…The Shiite-led government seems no more willing to compromise on key issues than it was before the surge…Thus the surge has emboldened the government to consolidate its sectarian gains and buck the wishes of its American supporters, even to the point of demanding a timetable for the end of the occupation”….

Myth 7. “Because the American military is stretched thin by the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, we must increase the size of our conventional armed forces.”

“The problem is not that we spend too little or have too few forces. After all, the military budget, now almost $600 billion, is almost as large as the combined military budgets of the rest of the world….The lessons we should draw from our experience in Iraq and Afghanistan is not that we need more conventional forces, but that the missions of regime change and counterinsurgency are – in addition to being illegal, in the case of the former, and unethical – are not essential to US interests and cannot be achieved at acceptable cost.”

Friday, September 19, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT, September 13-19, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT
September 13-19, 2008
No Peace without Justice, No Justice without the Facts
Mary K. Matossian, Editor
mary@matossian.net, 9-M

US Politics

PBS 9-12. McCain’s claim to be an agent of economic change is mainly based on his fight against earmarks on Congressional bills. But earmarks account for only 1% of the US deficit.

NYTimes 9-15. Obama raised $66 million in one month.

CNN 9-16. Palin has more favorable ratings among men than among women.

CNN 9-18. Obama now leads McCain by five points. Palin’s ratings have started to fall; Biden’s ratings have started to rise.

The US Economy, and its Influence on Politics

NYTimes 2-15. Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy.
Merrill Lynch agreed to sell itself to Bank of America on account of bad mortgage loans.

PBS 9-15. Experts predicted the financial crisis will not start to improve until mid-2009 and there will be no recovery until the middle of 2010. A thousand small and medium sized banks may go bankrupt. The Dow Jones fell 509 points, or 4.4%. The value of Goldman Sachs and Washington Mutual dropped suddenly. The AIG Company, a multifunction insurance group, received $85 billion in US federal loans to prevent an international meltdown
The economy became the #1 issue in the election. Obama said that this is the most serious financial crisis since the Great Depression.
PBS 9-17. The Dow Jones fell 450 points. Home construction was down 6.2%. Both Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs were at risk. Citigroup and Wachovia may buy Washington Mutual. The AIG bailout did not restore investor confidence. Gold went up 9% in one day. Money market mutual funds were stable, but not covered by FDIC. The federal government was under pressure to make sweeping policy changes regarding financial markets instead of its current ad-hoc decisions under pressure.
CNN 9-18, The stock market rose over 400 points. Three out of five great investment banks have now failed or been taken over.

In a speech Obama criticized the Republican economic policy of giving more and more to those with the most, and hoping that wealth would trickle down. McCain is now sounding more like a populist, demanding government regulation of the market.
Obama’s proposals:
1. Provide capital to families, liquidity to businesses to help restructure mortgages and keep families in their homes.
2. Provide jobs and meet national needs by providing $50 billion to build new infrastructure and schools.
3. Change bankruptcy and tax laws to help more who are in need, not just the most affluent.
4. Rate potential home buyers on a system that measures their fitness to borrow.
The consensus among experts now is that this is the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.

Israel

BBC 9-17. Tsipi Livni won over two generals, by a narrow margin, the election for head of the Kadima Party. She must now build a coalition. [She is for a negotiated settlement with the Palestinians and the evacuation of illegal settlements from the West Bank. Her right wing opponents favor military power only to maintain Israel’s security. ]

Friday, September 12, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT, September 6-12, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT
September 6 – 12, 2008
No Peace without Justice, no Justice without the Facts
Mary K. Matossian, Editor
mary@matossian.net, Apt. 9-M

US Politics

CNN 9-5. Obama cited economic problems, saying that 600,000 jobs have been lost so far this year. He said that in McCain’s 26 years in Washington he has always voted against tax credits for the developers of wind, and solar energy. The US has only 3-4% of the world’s oil reserves, but it consumes 25% of the world’s oil, so more drilling will not solve its problem. A record number of homes are in foreclosure. Obama promised to cut taxes for 95% of working families and for small businesses and startups.
PBS 9-8, Obama and McCain were in a dead heat. Sarah Palin stirred up the Republican base, but not by attracting women. As to reputation as a national unifier Obama is far ahead of McCain. [This is a major issue for independent voters].
CNN 9-10. Distribution of electoral votes for those states which are safe or leaning to presidential candidates: Obama, 243, McCain 189. Tossups: 106.
WPost 9-12. Obama’s campaign manager, David Plouffe, sought to reassure Democrats that while the McCain campaign is issuing a blizzard of lies, smears, and distractions, they will be answered soon in two new TV adds. He said that McCain is out of touch with reality because he has not been able to address the real issues. There have been no significant changes in McCain’s positions over the present administration’s policies on the economy, energy, health care, education or Iraq. Plouffe also said that corporate lobbyists are running the McCain campaign, and that they do not intend to put themselves out of business.

US Economy

NYTimes, PBS 9-7. The Federal Government took over Fannie May and Freddie Mac, which together held half of US mortgages. They had $12 billion in losses. The top officers of these companies were replaced by federal regulators. Commentators blamed the present government for failing to regulate these companies earlier.

Israel/Palestine

Haaretz (Tel Aviv) 9-7. Prime Minister Olmert said that Israel must now prepare for the evacuation of West Bank settlers. He suggested offering cash incentives for the settlers to move voluntarily.
A Fatah leader Hassan Khader, recently released from an Israeli prisoner as part of the prisoner exchange, said that Israel, after two years of negotiations, had made no significant concessions. He warned that the next Palestinian uprising would involve missiles and chemical weapons

Iraq

Michael Schwartz, War without End, as reported in Tom@Dispatch.com.
US military “success” in establishing better security has freed the Maliki government to take stronger nationalist positions on oil and trade. The Maliki government and its allies are now demanding that all US troops be out of Iraq by 2011. Maliki wants to exclude the US from contracts to develop Iraq’s major oil field. The “surge” strategy may be the nail in the coffin of US hopes for dominance in the Middle East. Iranian exports now dominate the Iraqi markets.

Friday, September 05, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT, August 30-September 5, 2008

THE FLASHLIGHT
August 30 to September 5, 2008
No Peace without Justice, no Justice without the Facts
Mary K. Matossian, Editor
mary@matossian.net, Apt. 9-M

The Republicans’ Big Week

CNN and PBS 8-29, NYTimes 8-30, Wikipedia, CNN 9-3, NYTimes 9-4. John McCain picked Sarah Palin, Governor of Alaska, as a running mate. She studied journalism and graduated from the University of Idaho.
She married a sportsman, fisherman, and member of the United Steelworkers Union. They have five children. She prided herself in being a “hockey mom,” [which meant that she actually played ice hockey.]
. She started her political career on the town council and as mayor of a town 45 miles north of Anchorage: Wasilia, population 7,000.
From an early age she has been an evangelical Christian fundamentalist, opposed to abortion, stem cell research, same sex marriage, and any sex education that covers alternatives to abstinence. She believes that creationism should be taught in the schools alongside evolution. She believes that global warming is not at all man-made. She threatened to fire the town librarian for refusing to ban certain books on account of their “inappropriate” language. In a speech last June in her former church in Wasilia, she said the war in Iraq was “a task that is from God.”
Sarah Palin was elected Governor of Alaska in December 2006, 20 months ago. She was lucky in her opponents, who were notorious crooks. Alaskan politics is famous for its corruption. But she was also lucky in that Alaska had plenty of money, running a $5 billion dollar surplus last year, while other states faced serious shortfalls. This has been because of the sharp rise in oil prices, and Alaska has abundant oil. She favors drilling for more in the Arctic National Wild Life Refuge. Alaska also receives a great deal of federal money for various projects.
She won election to Governor 20 months ago, in December, 2006. She condemned corruption and supported ethics legislation. She also distributed some of the budget surplus from oil revenues among the people. She fostered the development of a natural gas pipeline. She initially favored the $200 million dollar “bridge to nowhere”, but later changed her mind and used the money for other projects. Her current favorability rating is 76%.
In her speech to the Republican National Convention, 9-3, Sarah Palin aroused the gathering with her aggressive, sarcastic attacks on Obama, while maintaining her “femininity.” She said that compared with Obama as a community organizer, she had real responsibility as a small town mayor. She acknowledged that her Downs Syndrome baby was a child with “special needs.”
She acknowledged that she is an outsider to the “Washington elite” and unbeloved by the national media. She claimed that she was a champion of “small town America,” challenging the “status quo” [of dominance by urban Americans and Ivy League graduates like Obama]. She claimed to be an opponent of the “good old boys”, the oil companies, and wasteful spending. She said that she wanted to put government “back on the side of the people.”
She accused Barack Obama of never having authored any important legislation or reform. She said that he never spoke of “victory” abroad, only in connection with his own campaign. She accused him of planning to raise all major taxes. She mocked him for his “journey of personal discovery.”

Commentary on Palin Speech

CNN 9-3, NYTimes 9-4. Wolf Blitzer: “A star has been born.” Donna Brazile said it was “a red meat speech.” Harry Reid’s office called her “shrill.” Other commentators noted that she smiled when she put in the knife; that she was energizing the Republican base (small town folks, evangelicals); that she was starting up again the cultural war between urban, coastal culture, and small town, rural culture, while other leaders were trying to transcend it; that after this speech the Democrats would take off their gloves. Indeed, the Obama campaign promptly announced that everything she had said about Obama was false.
NYTimes 9-4. The Times writers observed that Palin made no mention of the economy and the hardships being experienced by so many Americans. They said that it will be difficult for the Republicans to talk about change when they have been in charge of the government in Washington for the last eight years. A handful of giant corporations still dominates Alaska in spite of Sarah Palin.
NYTimes 9-5. John McCain, instead of appealing to the party base, turned to the wider electorate. He vowed an end to partisan rancor. He distanced himself from the unpopular White House.
[The editor was unable to listen to this speech, hence the brief coverage.]
The Economist 8-30. McCain does resemble Pres. Bush, however, in his hawkish foreign policy positions, his advocacy of irresponsible tax cuts for the very rich, and in his positions on religion and abortion.

US Politics, General

CNN 9-3. Poll: Obama leads in Iowa +15; in Minnesota, +12, but in Ohio, only +2.

US Economy

NYTimes 8-30. Compressed natural gas can now be used as fuel in specially designed cars, i.e. the special Honda Civic. It is available in Utah for 87 cents a gallon. The drawbacks are that the number of fueling stations is limited, and that a full tank of compressed natural gas can only go half as far as a full tank of gasoline in a typical car.
The government of California is providing incentives for the development of this technology.

CNN 9-4. The Dow Jones, in a broad based sell-off, lost 344 points, ending at 11,188. Oil went down to $108 a barrel.
NYTimes 9-5. The unemployment rate rose to 6.1%, the highest since December, 2003.

The Middle East

Georgia
NYTimes 9-4. The US gave Georgia only $63 million dollars in 2007, one-third of which was for military purposes. Now the US is going to give it $1.8 billion over the next 17 years. This does not include military funds. The announcement angered the Russians.

Turkey/Armenia

Turkish Daily News 9-3. Pres. Abdullah Gul of Turkey has gone to Erevan [capital of Armenia] and hopes for a breakthrough in talks with the Armenian government.

Iraq
The Economist, 8-30. “Iraq is still a bloody mess.” Hundreds of Iraqis are being killed every month, and four million are still displaced from their homes. In the north, a vicious insurgency continues, especially around Mosul. There has been no decision on the management and distribution of profits from Iraqi oil.

Israel/Palestine

Haaretz 9-5. In an effort to strengthen Pres. Abbas, Israel ordered that 1,000 rifles be sent to the Palestine Authority.